This paper develops models of delinquent activity and subsequent sentencing to a correctional program. It shows how a population of youths, whose delinquent activity is represented by a stationary stochastic process, can be selected (using reasonable selection rules) to form a cohort which has an inflated rate of delinquent activity prior to selection. When the activity rate returns to its uninflated rate after the youths are released from the program, an apparent reduction results. Based on this analysis, the paper concludes that the reductions noted in delinquent activity may be largely due to the way delinquents are selected for correction rather than to the effect of the programs. Figures, equations, seven references, and appended technical material are supplied. (Author abstract modified)
Downloads
Similar Publications
- The Effects of a Co-Response Program on Patrol Call Volume for Mental Health Crisis-Related Calls: A Time Series Analysis
- Persisting Concerns About Image Exposure Among Survivors of Image-Based Sexual Exploitation and Abuse in Childhood
- Profiles of Principal Stress and Coping: Concurrent and Prospective Correlates