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Risk/Needs Assessment and Parole Outcome in Massachusetts - An Evaluation Study

NCJ Number
102328
Author(s)
R Lunden
Date Published
1985
Length
78 pages
Annotation
This study evaluated the effectiveness of the Massachusetts risk/needs assessment instrument in classifying parolees for supervision and in affecting parole outcome.
Abstract
The Massachusetts risk/needs assessment instrument is a modifed version of the Wisconsin instrument and produces a score linked to a combination of client needs (health, emotional stability, vocational needs, employment, etc.) and risk factors (history of drug or alcohol problems, previous failure on parole or probation, irregular employment, etc.). Study subjects were 198 randomly selected persons paroled during the first 6 months of 1983. Data were collected on risk/needs scores, supervision level, parolee demographic characteristics, criminal history, and parole outcome. A successful parole outcome consisted of no new arrests for a significant offense and no parole revocation. An unsuccessful outcome occurred if there was an arrest for a significant offense or parole revocation. Parole outcome was measured over 18-24 months. The independent variable (risk/needs scores, criminal history, and demographic variables) and the dependent variable (parole outcome) were cross-tabulated. The chi square statistic was used to test the statistical significance of the relationship between the independent variables and the dependent variable. Pearson's product moment correlation coefficients were computed to determine the relationship between all risk/needs items and parole outcome. Those placed in moderate and maximum supervision levels had virtually identical failure rates at 36 percent. Those with minimum supervision failed at 20 percent. Ninety percent of the sample was placed in maximum supervision based on instrument scores. The instrument is not highly effective as currently administered. Recommendations for improving parole risk/needs assessment are offered. 19 tables and 27 references.