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Is Unstructured Socializing a Dynamic Process?: An Exploratory Analysis Using a Semiparametric Group-Based Modeling Approach

NCJ Number
232763
Journal
Criminal Justice Review Volume: 35 Issue: 4 Dated: December 2010 Pages: 514-532
Author(s)
George E. Higgins; Wesley G. Jennings
Date Published
December 2010
Length
19 pages
Annotation
This study examined three items: whether unstructured socializing is a dynamic process that follows trajectories; whether key covariates are able to distinguish trajectories of unstructured socializing and delinquency; and the possible link between the trajectories of unstructured socializing and delinquency.
Abstract
Relying on the theory of Osgood et al. of unstructured socializing (US) and using longitudinal data from the Gang Resistance Education and Training (G.R.E.A.T.) program, this study examines whether US is a dynamic process and how the changes in US may relate to changes in delinquency during adolescence for groups, who demonstrate different levels of involvement and frequency of offending over time. Results from semiparametric group-based models indicate that individuals tend to follow three distinct trajectories of US and four trajectories of delinquency. Furthermore, additional results from multinomial regressions suggest that key covariates can significantly distinguish group membership and that the covariates that distinguish US trajectories distinguish the delinquency trajectories. Finally, the results demonstrate that there is a considerable degree of overlap across trajectory groups. That is, those that follow the high-rate US trajectory also tend to follow the high-rate delinquency trajectory. Study limitations and possible theoretical implications are also discussed. Tables, figures, and references (Published Abstract)