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Cartel Evolution: Potentials and Consequences

NCJ Number
190052
Journal
Transnational Organized Crime Volume: 4 Issue: 2 Dated: Summer 1998 Pages: 55-74
Author(s)
Robert J. Bunker; John P. Sullivan
Date Published
1998
Length
20 pages
Annotation
This article reviews the actual and potential evolution of the drug cartel from an hierarchical organization to an internetted, transnational criminal actor that can perhaps further evolve into a new war-making entity capable of challenging the legitimacy and even the solvency of nation-states.
Abstract
The first-phase cartel form originated in Colombia during the 1980's in response to the increasing demand for cocaine in the United States. This type of cartel, characterized by the Medellin model, realized economies of scale not known to the individual cocaine entrepreneurs of the mid-1970's. This early cartel was an aggressive competitor to the Westphalian state because of its propensity for extreme violence, uncompromising nature, and willingness to directly challenge the authority of the state. The Medellin model was hierarchical and revolved around its kingpin, Pablo Escobar. The second phase of the cartel form also originally developed in Colombia in the city of Cali. Unlike its Medellin counterpart, the Cali group, which emerged in the early 1980's, was a shadowy organization devoid of an actual kingpin. Its organization was more distributed and network-like, rather than traditionally hierarchical. Many of its characteristics and activities were stealth-masked and dispersed, thereby providing many operational capabilities not possessed by the first-phase cartel form. Third-phase cartels, if and when they emerge, have the potential to pose an even more significant challenge to the modern nation-state and its institutions. A third-phase cartel would result from unremitting corruption and co-option of state institutions. Although this "criminal state successor" has yet to emerge, warning signs of its eventual arrival are present in many States worldwide. Such an entity would challenge our current institutions and, at least during a transitional period, could be expected to exploit corruption, co-option, terrorism, crime, and violence toward its ends. 70 notes