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Juvenile Population Forecast: 2000-2005 Secure Juvenile Detention and Incarceration Forecast, October 2000

NCJ Number
Jorge Rodriguez-Labarca; John P. O'Connell
Date Published
October 2000
33 pages
This forecast of the number of juvenile offenders to be housed in Delaware’s secure juvenile facilities during 2000-2005 concludes that as many as 91 new secure beds will be needed over the next 4 years unless a significant decrease occurs in juvenile crime or in the number of administrative holds and violations of probation.
The forecast independently considers three different types of juvenile offenders housed in Delaware’s secure juvenile facilities. The detainees include juveniles who have been arrested and are detained awaiting bail, case review, or adjudicatory or sentencing hearings in family court. The detainee population also includes juvenile offenders detained on administrative holds and violation of probation. The analysis notes that the detention population averaged 87 in the last year. The future population is expected to range from 115 to 126, depending on which of 2 models the estimates use. The sentenced offender population averaged 127 in the last year and is expected to increase to an estimated 179 offenders by 2005. The number of juveniles remanded to the superior court as adults is estimated to range between 16 and 21. Figures and tables