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What Predicts Human Trafficking?

NCJ Number
222010
Journal
International Journal of Comparative and Applied Criminal Justice Volume: 31 Issue: 2 Dated: Fall 2007 Pages: 269-279
Author(s)
Kevin Bales
Date Published
2007
Length
11 pages
Annotation
This article discusses the causes and effects of human trafficking.
Abstract
The author attempts to provide a viable and uniform answer to the question “what causes trafficking?” and addresses strategies designed to control the problem. It is evident that traffickers enter into this criminal career because of its high profit potential, low capital investment, and low risk of being caught. They take advantage of economic pressures, political instability/transition, and social/cultural factors and the victim’s desire for a better life or, in the case of children particularly, their vulnerability. However, the author contends, more information and deeper analysis is needed if we are going to achieve a better understanding of trafficking and its root causes. International and governmental agencies, as well as non-governmental organizations (NGOs), have recognized this issue and are, for the first time, taking concrete steps to address the issues in a cooperative manner. Accurately defining the problem was the first step. The next is to answer two basic questions: What causes trafficking from a country? And, what causes trafficking to a country? From the answers the author states that statistical models weighing the factors in what drives trafficking to and from a country can be applied to determine what factors are the most important. Arguing that this is only the first step, the author admits that traffickers are inventive and opportunistic and will adapt to new enforcement measures quickly. Therefore, the challenge to authorities is to be prepared for these changes through information analysis and research. Figures and endnotes